Beware of logical errors


Arizona Daily Wildcat

John Keisling

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Post hoc ergo propter hoc.. That's Latin for "After this, therefore because of this." It's the official name for a common logical error; e.g., Joe breaks a mirror and six months later gets fired, so Bob concludes the mirror must have caused the firing.

Of course, Bob's conclusion is unsupported. (The mirror could have been the cause, but there is no evidence given to show this.) If Bob had only known about the post hoc error, he could have avoided embarrassment, ridicule and paranoia about mirrors. In t hat spirit, I would like to outline some of the more egregious logical errors I've come across, complete with real-life examples. Clip and save this as a handy reference for any essays, papers or letters to the editor you may write.

John Keisling's new book, a collection of his 54 Wildcat columns plus nine others, is available TODAY, in the Student Union Arcade (across from the Fiddlee Fig) from 11 a.m. to 2 p.m.! Go there now, or e-mail keisl@math.arizona.edu, or call 325-0351 .

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